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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple but very specific question about the first game of a League of Legends series: will any player secure a Quadra Kill in Game 1? The matchup is listed as MKOI vs. KC, and because the outcome depends on a single highlight play, it can swing quickly if one team gets ahead or fights break out often.
A Quadra Kill means one player gets four kills in rapid succession during the same fight or sequence, and the market counts a Penta Kill as satisfying that condition too. It resolves on Game 1 only, not the full series, and if Game 1 is remade then only the remade version counts. If the game is canceled, delayed more than 7 days, not played because of a forfeit or walkover, or never needed because the series is already decided, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
Quadra Kills are rare enough that even in pro League of Legends they depend on the pace of the game, draft choices, and whether one team can stack up multiple low-health enemies in a single fight. Readers may care because a single explosive teamfight can turn this from a quiet early game into a decisive highlight market, while slower, cleaner games often leave little room for a four-kill streak. The main disagreement is whether Game 1 will produce that kind of clustered combat at all.
Anything that changes how volatile Game 1 looks can matter here: aggressive champion drafts, early skirmish-heavy styles, or a matchup that tends to produce messy teamfights raise the chance of a Quadra Kill. On the other hand, control-oriented drafts, one-sided stomps that end before multiple late-game fights, or very clean objective play can reduce the odds. Since the market is only about the first map, roster surprises, champion select, or a remake in Game 1 are especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to check are whether Game 1 is actually played, whether it is remade, and whether any player reaches four kills in rapid succession before the game ends. The stated source of truth is official results on gol.gg/esports/home, with a fallback if final results are not posted within 2 hours after the event ends. Because the market has special 50-50 rules for cancellation, delay, forfeits, walkovers, and series-clinching edge cases, readers should verify the final Game 1 result rather than relying on the broader series outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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