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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $103.7 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$103.7
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
9.5%
Change
-38%
High
59%
Low
9.5%
Movistar KOI moved from 47.5% to 9.5% over the last week, trading between 9.5% and 59%.
Movistar KOI price history from Polymarket CLOB.
57 points
This market asks a very specific question inside the LEC Playoffs lower bracket final: which team gets first blood in Game 3 between Movistar KOI and Karmine Corp. Because it is tied to one map of one match rather than the whole series, the result can swing on early lane pressure, jungle pathing, or a single overextension.
The event is the Lower bracket final in the LEC Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 11:00AM ET, with Movistar KOI facing Karmine Corp. The market resolves to the team that secures the first kill in Game 3 only, not the match winner, and it uses official match information from gol.gg as the main source for resolution. If Game 3 is delayed too long, canceled, unfinished without a first blood, or never played because of a forfeit or walkover, the market can resolve to 50-50 under the stated rules.
Even in a high-level playoff series, first blood is not predetermined: draft choices, lane matchups, early pathing, and whether a team plays aggressively from level one all affect who strikes first. Movistar KOI and Karmine Corp are well-known LEC teams, so readers may care about not just who wins the series, but which side establishes early control in the deciding part of the match. The market is pricing disagreement about which roster will be sharper in the opening minutes of Game 3.
Any information that changes expectations for Game 3 can move this market, especially roster news, last-minute substitution details, or signs that one team is favoring early-game champions and invade-oriented jungle routes. In a playoff context, the map score matters too: if the series reaches Game 3 after both teams have already shown a pattern of early aggression or caution, that can shape how observers judge first-blood chances. Because the market is narrowly about the first kill in one game, draft reveal patterns and early-game composition choices are more relevant than overall series strength.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, check that Game 3 is actually played and that the match follows the stated playoff schedule, since cancellations, long delays, forfeits, or remakes are handled by the market rules. The source of truth is official result data from gol.gg, with credible video-based reporting only if final results are still missing two hours after the match ends. The main ambiguity to watch is whether first blood happened before any stoppage or remake, since that detail determines resolution even if the game does not finish normally.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $103.7 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Movistar KOI
0%
Karmine Corp
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket final match between Movistar KOI and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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