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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $25.1 in 24h volume, and $0.2 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$25.1
Liquidity
$0.2
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will either team produce a Penta Kill in Game 1? A Penta Kill is one of the flashiest plays in the game, so even though it is rare, it can quickly decide attention around a map. The deadline is the scheduled start of Game 1 on 2026-06-07, and the page resolves from official match results after the game finishes.
The event here is not the whole series, but only Game 1. A "Yes" result needs any player on either side to kill all five enemy champions in rapid succession during that first game; if nobody does, the answer is "No." The market rules also spell out several edge cases, including 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, forfeited before Game 1 is played, or if the game is never needed because the series is already decided.
Penta Kills are dramatic but not common, and whether one happens in a single early game depends on draft, teamfight frequency, and how close the teams are in skill. That gives this market a simple but uncertain question: will Game 1 have the kind of chaotic late-fight sequence that creates a Penta Kill, or will it end without one? The pricing reflects that tension between a rare highlight and a normal game that never reaches that moment.
Anything that suggests a scrappy, high-damage Game 1 can nudge expectations toward a Penta Kill, especially aggressive champion drafts, scaling carries, or compositions built around repeated teamfights. By contrast, slower control-oriented drafts, one-sided stomps, or early clean finishes reduce the chances because there are fewer late-game fights where a single player can clean up all five kills. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, so that outcome can also matter for resolution.
The current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, check that Game 1 is actually played and completed, since the rules treat certain cancellations, forfeits, and non-games as 50-50. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence allowed only if final results are still missing two hours after the event ends. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether a Penta Kill happened during the remade game, or whether the game stopped early because of surrender after no Penta Kill occurred.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $25.1 in 24h volume, and $0.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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