
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple in-game question for Game 1 of a League of Legends series: will any player on either side secure a Quadra Kill? That makes it a highlight-driven market, because one explosive teamfight can decide it even if the rest of the game is routine. The page’s match context suggests a TES vs. WE matchup, so roster strength, drafting, and early skirmish pressure are especially relevant to watch.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player kills four enemy champions in rapid succession during the same fight. This market resolves Yes if that happens at any point in Game 1, and a Penta Kill also counts because it includes a Quadra Kill. If Game 1 is never played, is canceled, is delayed too long, or is replaced by a walkover, the market goes to 50-50 under the stated rules.
Whether a Quadra Kill happens depends on how chaotic and close the game becomes, not just on which team is favored. Fast snowball games, heavy teamfight compositions, and fights around objectives like dragons or Baron can create the kind of clustered damage that produces a four-kill streak, while slower or more controlled games often never get there. That uncertainty is what the market is pricing.
Before Game 1, the biggest drivers are the official lineup, lane matchups, and draft style: aggressive dive or wombo-combo compositions usually give players more chances to chain kills, while poke or split-push setups can reduce them. Once the game starts, repeated five-on-five fights, long objective standoffs, or one team losing control of vision can all make a Quadra Kill more likely. A remake or an early surrender also matters, because this market follows the actual completed Game 1 under the posted rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are that Game 1 is actually played, that it is the remade version if a remake happens, and that the result is final in the official source listed in the rules. If the series is altered, delayed, or not completed, the special 50-50 clauses matter more than the in-game action itself. For normal resolution, readers should look for the official match record from the stated source and confirm whether any player’s kill streak reached four before the game ended.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+1.5%
24h Vol
$582.9
Liquidity
$1.8K
Spread
6%
12/31/2026
View market