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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $102.4 in 24h volume, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$102.4
Liquidity
$3.5K
This market asks a very specific in-game question for Game 1 of a League of Legends series between Top Esports and Team WE: did both sides secure at least one elemental dragon? Dragon control often reflects which team is setting the pace around the map, so this is a useful early-game checkpoint rather than a simple win-or-lose bet on the match itself.
The outcome depends only on Game 1 of Top Esports vs. Team WE. For this market to resolve to Yes, Top Esports must slay at least one elemental dragon and Team WE must also slay at least one elemental dragon during that same game; if either team gets none, the result is No. Only elemental dragons count here, and Elder Dragon kills do not count toward settlement.
This market captures a narrower question than who wins the game: whether both teams can reach and contest dragon fights at least once. That can matter because some games are decided by lane pressure, objective trades, or one-sided control that leaves one side never touching a dragon, while other games feature repeated skirmishes around dragon pit and a more balanced map state.
Anything that changes expectations for early objective trading can matter here, especially roster news, draft priorities, and patch or meta shifts that favor scaling, teamfighting, or early dragon setups. If one side is known for fast-paced setups, strong jungle support, or reliable mid-game objective control, that generally makes both teams taking at least one dragon easier to imagine; if a draft looks likely to produce a snowball or one-sided stomp, the market may swing toward No. Because the market is limited to Game 1, the actual draft and how the first few dragons are contested will usually matter more than the broader series context.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is that Game 1 is actually played and completed, because the rules send canceled, forfeited, walkover, or never-started games to 50-50. The official source of truth is the match result and in-game objective record for Game 1, with the date set for 2026-06-07 at 15:00 UTC; if the game is delayed beyond seven days, the market also resolves 50-50. Readers should also watch for any edge cases in a surrendered game, since the market settles based on whether both teams had already slain at least one elemental dragon before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $102.4 in 24h volume, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
99.5%
No
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Team WE each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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