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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $150 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$150
Liquidity
$1.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-49.5%
High
61%
Low
0.5%
Team WE moved from 50% to 0.5% over the last day, trading between 0.5% and 61%.
Team WE price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks a narrow but important question for the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final: which side gets the first kill, or “first blood,” in Game 1 between Top Esports and Team WE. In League of Legends, first blood often reflects early lane pressure, jungle pathing, and how aggressively a team wants to start the series. Because this is tied to one specific game rather than the match result, small draft and early-game choices can matter a lot.
The event is the upper bracket final in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 7 at 5:00 AM ET, and the market resolves on who secures the first blood in Game 1 only. If Top Esports gets the first kill before Team WE, Top Esports wins this market; if Team WE gets it first, Team WE wins. The description also covers edge cases such as remakes, incomplete games, forfeits, or a cancelled match, with some of those outcomes resolving to 50-50 instead of a team.
There is genuine uncertainty because first blood is a fast-moving early-game event shaped by draft, lane matchups, and how each team chooses to contest the opening minutes. Top Esports and Team WE are established LPL names, and in a playoff final the opening game can be approached very differently from a regular-season match. The market is pricing disagreement over which team is likelier to create the first successful early play in Game 1.
Any confirmed change to the starting lineups, role swaps, or a last-minute substitution would be especially relevant because first-blood markets are sensitive to early-game coordination. Draft context can also matter: aggressive lanes, hard-engage supports, or junglers known for early pressure can shift expectations before Game 1 starts. Once the game begins, the most important developments are early invades, lane-level skirmishes, and whether either team gives up an obvious first-blood setup in the opening minutes.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check that Game 1 actually starts and finishes, since the rules treat cancellations, delays beyond seven days, forfeits, and some incomplete games differently. The official resolution source is gol.gg esports home, and if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends, credible reporting and video evidence may be used instead. If the game is remade or stops before a kill happens, the market does not automatically follow the final scoreline, so the exact timing of the first blood is the key detail to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $150 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Top Esports
99.5%
Team WE
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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