esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 74%, $7K in 24h volume, and $4.3K in liquidity.
Probability
74%
24h Volume
$7K
Liquidity
$4.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+37%
High
99.5%
Low
37.5%
Over moved from 62.5% to 99.5% over the last day, trading between 37.5% and 99.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks whether Game 1 in the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final between Top Esports and Team WE will finish with at least 30 total kills. Because it is tied to a single game rather than the full match, draft style, early fights, and how aggressively both teams play can matter more than overall series strength.
The event is the first game of an upper bracket final in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET. The question is simple: will Game 1 end with 30 kills or more, or will it stay at 29 or below? Top Esports and Team WE are the two teams named in the market, and the result is based only on the first map of this specific playoff match.
A single League of Legends game can swing between controlled, low-kill play and a much more chaotic fight-heavy script, especially in a playoff setting where teams may approach the opening game cautiously or try to make an early statement. That uncertainty is what this market is pricing: whether this particular matchup starts slow enough to stay under 29.5 kills, or becomes messy enough to clear it.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 1 pace can move this market, especially confirmed lineup or roster information, last-minute substitutions, or signs that one team is likely to play a faster early-game style. Draft trends, patch and meta shifts, and which side gets more comfortable teamfighting tools can also matter, because they often influence how often kills happen before the game ends. If the match format, start time, or scheduled Game 1 changes, that can affect the market too, since only the first completed game counts.
The current market price implies roughly a 74% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key source for resolution is official result data from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are still missing two hours after the match ends. Readers should verify that Game 1 is actually completed, because a forfeit, disqualification, walkover, cancelation, or remade game can change how the market resolves. It is also worth checking that the match was not delayed beyond the market’s seven-day cutoff, since that would send the outcome to 50-50 instead of a normal over/under result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 74%, $7K in 24h volume, and $4.3K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
74%
Under
26%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 30 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 74%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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