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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2
This market asks a very specific in-game question from a League of Legends series: in Game 2 between Top Esports and Team WE, will both sides take at least one elemental dragon? It is worth watching because dragon control is one of the clearest early-objective battlegrounds in LoL, and a single missed or delayed dragon can decide the outcome under these rules.
The event is tied to Game 2 of Top Esports vs. Team WE, with resolution based only on whether each team slays at least one elemental dragon during that game. The dragon types that count are the standard elemental dragons—Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud—and the market says Elder Dragons do not count. If the game is not played, is canceled, is decided by forfeit/walkover, or Game 2 is no longer needed because the series is already settled, the market resolves to 50-50; if the game starts but ends early, it resolves from whatever happened before the stop.
The uncertainty is about how the game will unfold, not just who wins the match. Some teams play for early lane pressure and objective control, while others trade dragons differently, so it is not guaranteed that both rosters will secure one elemental dragon even in a full game. Because the rule is narrow—both teams must each claim at least one elemental dragon—an otherwise ordinary map can still resolve to No if one side dominates the objective setup or the game ends too quickly.
The biggest price moves would come from anything that changes expected game length or objective trading in Game 2. Drafts that favor early fighting, jungle control, and dragon stacking usually make the Yes side more plausible, while drafts built around side lanes, fast towers, or one-sided snowballing can reduce the chance that both teams reach a dragon kill. A series format detail also matters here: if the match state changes so Game 2 is not played, the market does not hinge on in-game action at all and instead follows the stated 50-50 fallback rules.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that Game 2 actually starts and finishes, because the rules treat cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, and unneeded games differently from a completed map. The source of truth is the official in-game result and dragon objective count for Game 2, with only elemental dragon kills counting toward the condition. One ambiguity to watch is whether the game ends through surrender or another early stop: in that case, the market depends on whether both teams had already secured at least one elemental dragon before play ended.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Team WE each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 2. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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