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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
+1.5%
High
54.5%
Low
34%
Top Esports moved from 48.5% to 50% over the last week, trading between 34% and 54.5%.
Top Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
70 points
This market is about a very specific in-game event from the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final: which team gets the first kill in Game 2 of Top Esports vs. Team WE. Because it focuses on one early fight in one map, the outcome can hinge on draft, lane pressure, and the first few minutes rather than who wins the series overall.
The match in question is Top Esports against Team WE in the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final, scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2, meaning the first kill of that game. If Game 2 is not fully played, is remade, or never happens for reasons such as cancellation, delay beyond the stated window, forfeits, or walkovers, the rules specify how it resolves, including several 50-50 outcomes.
First blood is a small but meaningful early-game marker in League of Legends, especially in a playoff series where teams often prepare targeted drafts and lane plans. Top Esports and Team WE are both familiar LPL names, so readers may care less about the whole series result and more about which side starts Game 2 with the first momentum swing. The market is pricing a narrow question: which lineup is more likely to create the opening pick in that specific map.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 2’s early tempo can move this market, especially draft style, lane matchups, and whether either team tends to play aggressively around level 1 to 3. If one side shows a more favorable composition for early skirmishes, stronger jungle pressure, or stronger level-one invade potential, that can tilt first-blood expectations. Because this is tied to a single map, even small changes in the series context before Game 2 can matter more than overall match strength.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 2 is actually played to completion and, if not, whether one of the special resolution rules applies. Readers should look for the official result source listed in the rules, gol.gg, since that is the primary resolution source, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. The exact deadline and status of the match matter here because delays, remakes, or a missing first blood can all change the outcome to a 50-50 resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Top Esports
50%
Team WE
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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