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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $51 in 24h volume, and $26.6 in liquidity.
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$51
Liquidity
$26.6
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will Game 3 feature a Penta Kill, meaning one player from either side secures five kills in quick succession. It is a high-variance event that usually depends on whether the game stays close long enough for one teamfight to swing dramatically, which is why this market can stay heavily tilted toward one side. The result is tied to a single map, not the full series.
The event is labeled "Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?" and applies only to the third game of the match listed on the page. A "Yes" result requires at least one player on either team to record a Penta Kill during that game; if nobody does, the market resolves "No." If Game 3 is never played, is canceled, is delayed too long, or the series ends before a third game is needed, the market resolves to 50-50 under the posted rules.
Penta Kills are rare even in professional League of Legends because a single player has to clean up all five opposing champions in the same sequence before the fight resets. Whether that happens often comes down to draft, teamfight style, late-game scaling, and how close the game remains around major objectives. The market is pricing disagreement over whether Game 3 will produce that kind of chaotic, high-kill finish or end without a single pentakill.
News that Game 3 will actually be played is the biggest prerequisite, since any cancellation, forfeit, or series result that removes the map changes resolution completely. Roster swaps, substitute starts, or other lineup changes can matter because they affect whether teams are more coordinated or more volatile in fights. Draft and match shape also matter: compositions built for hard engage, reset-heavy carries, or extended late-game fights generally create more pentakill chances than fast stomps or low-scrap control games.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 28% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the official match schedule, whether a third game is still required, and whether Game 3 finishes normally or ends by surrender, remake, or other stoppage. The resolution source is official results on gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also check the exact match date and watch for any delay beyond seven days, because that would trigger the special 50-50 rule rather than a normal win/loss outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $51 in 24h volume, and $26.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
28.3%
No
71.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 28%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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