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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.2 in 24h volume, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.2
Liquidity
$0.1
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will either side produce a Quadra Kill in Game 3? Quadra Kills are rare but memorable moments, so this is the kind of esports event that can swing on one late-teamfight cleanup or a single player getting fed at the right time.
The contract resolves on whether any player in Game 3 records a Quadra Kill, meaning four enemy champions are killed in quick succession by the same player. If someone upgrades that to a Penta Kill, that still counts as a Quadra Kill for this market. The page title points to Game 3 specifically, so the outcome depends only on that game, not on earlier maps in the series.
There is genuine uncertainty because a Quadra Kill is common enough to happen in pro League, but still uncommon enough that many games never feature one. The outcome can hinge on draft, team composition, late-game scaling, and whether the match turns into one decisive teamfight or a slower objective trade. For viewers, this market is really about the style of Game 3: high-kill brawls make the event more plausible, while controlled macro games make it less likely.
Anything that changes the shape of Game 3 can matter: aggressive drafts, reset-heavy assassins or marksmen, and teams that fight often around dragons or Baron tend to create more multi-kill chances. If the series is trending toward longer, messy fights, that generally improves the odds of a Quadra Kill; if the teams play carefully and avoid hard engages, it points the other way. Because the market is for Game 3 only, the most important triggers are the actual draft, early gold swings, and whether one player becomes far enough ahead to clean up fights.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketRead the rules closely on how unfinished games are handled. A remade Game 3 counts only on the remade version, a surrender or partial finish resolves from what happened before stoppage, and no Game 3 at all can push the market to 50-50 if the series ends early, is canceled, or is delayed beyond the stated window. The official result source is gol.gg/esports/home, so readers should verify the completed Game 3 result there if the match ends ambiguously or the page updates slowly.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.2 in 24h volume, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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