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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question in Game 3: will both Top Esports and Team WE take Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the game’s biggest objectives, so the answer usually depends on how long the game lasts, who controls the map, and whether the teams are able to trade major objectives back and forth.
The event is the third game of the Top Esports vs. Team WE series, and the outcome is based only on that single game. To resolve to Yes, both TES and WE must each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3; if either side never secures Baron, the market resolves No. The market also has special resolution rules for unusual outcomes: if the game is not played, is delayed too long, ends in a remade version, or is never completed because the series ends early, it can resolve 50-50 instead.
Baron Nashor is a late-game objective that spawns at 20:00 game time, so this market is really about whether Game 3 becomes a long, contested map rather than a one-sided finish. Fans watching Top Esports and Team WE will care because teams with stronger late-game setups, better vision control, or more back-and-forth teamfights are more likely to trade Baron attempts. The disagreement in the market comes from the fact that a single missed fight, a fast snowball, or an early surrender can completely prevent both teams from getting Baron.
Anything that suggests a longer, more competitive Game 3 can push this market toward Yes, since Baron usually enters the picture only after the midgame. Drafts that favor scaling, waveclear, or repeated objective contests can matter because they increase the chance both teams stay alive deep enough into the match to take Baron. By contrast, a very lopsided game, an early surrender, or a series result that removes the need for Game 3 would all cut against the Yes outcome under the market rules.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are whether Game 3 is actually played, whether it finishes normally, and whether the final official result source lists both teams as having slain Baron Nashor in that game. This market resolves from official information on gol.gg/esports/home, but if that site has not published final results in time, the page’s rules say the market can fall back to another official source. Because remakes, surrender endings, cancellations, and series clinches all change the resolution path, readers should check the match status carefully rather than assuming the outcome from the scoreboard alone.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Team WE each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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