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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $10 in 24h volume, and $1 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-0.5%
High
65.5%
Low
30.5%
Team WE moved from 50.5% to 50% over the last month, trading between 30.5% and 65.5%.
Team WE price history from Polymarket CLOB.
24 points
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: which side gets first blood in Game 3 of the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final between Top Esports and Team WE. Because it focuses on a single early-game event inside one map, it can swing on draft, lane matchups, and how aggressively each team starts the game.
The title refers to the first kill in Game 3 of Top Esports vs. Team WE, not the match winner or the series score. The market is tied to the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final, scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET, and it resolves to the team that secures first blood in that specific game. If Game 3 is never played, is delayed too long, or ends without a first blood, the rules call for a 50-50 resolution instead.
First blood is one of the most watched early-game markers in competitive League of Legends because it often reflects which team controls the opening minutes better. In a playoff series between Top Esports and Team WE, the question is not just who is stronger overall, but who is more likely to draw first blood in the decisive third game after draft and adaptation have had time to matter. That creates uncertainty even if one side is slightly favored, because the outcome depends on early pathing, lane pressure, and whether either team chooses a risky opening.
The biggest price drivers are anything that affects Game 3 draft and early-game style: champion selections, lane priorities, jungle matchups, and whether either team is playing for skirmishes or slower scaling. A series going 1-1 already tells readers that both teams have a path to win games, but it does not say who will strike first in the next map. If official pregame lineups, substitutes, or format details change the expected early-game structure, that can matter more here than broader series narratives.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
To resolve this market, the key question is simply who gets the first blood in Game 3, using the official result source listed in the rules, gol.gg, with credible video-based reporting only if final results are not posted promptly. Readers should verify that Game 3 actually starts and completes, because the rules treat cancellations, long delays, forfeits, and unresolved no-first-blood games differently. In a remake situation, the first blood before the remake still counts; if it had not happened yet, the remade game decides the market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $10 in 24h volume, and $1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Top Esports
50.5%
Team WE
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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