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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.1 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone land a Penta Kill in Game 4? A Penta Kill means one player personally finishes off all five enemy champions in quick succession, so the market is focused on a single explosive moment rather than the overall match result.
The outcome depends only on Game 4, not the broader series. If any player on either team records a Penta Kill during that game, the market resolves to Yes; if nobody does, it resolves to No. The listed deadline is 2026-06-07 15:00 UTC, and the market rules also cover edge cases such as cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeits, walkovers, and remakes.
Penta Kills are rare even in high-level esports, because they usually require a team fight to unfold in a very particular way and for one carry to secure the final five eliminations. That makes this a narrow, event-specific uncertainty: readers are not guessing who wins the game, but whether the action reaches one of League’s most dramatic highlight outcomes.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a chaotic late-game team fight can matter here, including champion select, draft priorities, and whether either side is likely to field burst-heavy damage dealers or reset-oriented champions. Because the market is tied to Game 4 specifically, whether the series actually reaches a fourth map is also important under the rules: if the series ends before Game 4 is needed, the market resolves to 50-50.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the official result on gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are still missing two hours after the match ends. Readers should verify that Game 4 was actually played, whether it finished normally or was remade, and whether any Penta Kill occurred in the remade version if applicable. If the game is delayed, canceled, or never played because the series ends early, the rules call for a 50-50 resolution rather than Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.1 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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