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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific in-game question from a League of Legends series: will Game 4 contain at least one Quadra Kill by any player on either side? It is worth watching because a Quadra Kill is a rare, momentum-swinging highlight that usually comes only in chaotic fights or decisive late-game finishes. The market also has a built-in edge case: if Game 4 never happens or is not completed under the stated rules, it can resolve 50-50 instead of a normal yes/no outcome.
The event being judged is Game 4 of a League of Legends match, and the only outcome that matters is whether any player records a Quadra Kill during that game. A Quadra Kill means one player kills four enemy champions in rapid succession; the rules say a Penta Kill also counts because it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill. The market resolves from official results on gol.gg, with special handling for remakes, surrenders, cancellations, delays beyond seven days, forfeits, walkovers, or a series ending before Game 4 is needed.
This market is priced around the uncertainty of whether a single game will produce a high-kill teamfight sequence, which depends on draft, pace, and how close the teams are once the game gets going. Some League games end cleanly with few large fights, while others turn into extended late-game battles where one player can chain together four kills quickly. Because Game 4 only exists if the series reaches that point, the market also reflects series-length uncertainty, not just in-game action.
Anything that suggests a slower, lower-chaos game can make a Quadra Kill feel less likely, while aggressive drafts, snowballing compositions, or teams known for forcing frequent fights can push the other way. Roster changes, patch effects on carry champions, and map or objective control patterns can all matter because they influence whether teams cluster for decisive fights or avoid them. If the series format or result makes Game 4 unlikely to be played at all, that changes the resolution path more than the kill count itself.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should check whether Game 4 is actually played and completed, since the rules send several non-played scenarios to 50-50. The source of truth is official information from gol.gg, and the market description says final results need to appear within two hours after the event ends or a fallback source may be used. The main ambiguity risks are remakes, partial games, a surrendered game, or a series ending early, so the key thing to verify is whether a qualifying Quadra Kill happened during the final version of Game 4 itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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