esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
+10.5%
High
50%
Low
39.5%
Over moved from 39.5% to 50% over the last hour, trading between 39.5% and 50%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks a very specific question about Game 4 of the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final between Top Esports and Team WE: will that single game finish with 31 or more total kills? Because the line is set at 30.5, even one extra kill changes the result from Under to Over. For viewers following the series, Game 4 matters because a best-of series can shift pace and draft priorities as the match goes longer.
The event is the upper bracket final in the LPL Playoffs, with Top Esports and Team WE named in the title and description. The market does not ask who wins the match; it only resolves on the combined kills in Game 4 of that series, with Over meaning 31 or more kills and Under meaning 30 or fewer. The scheduled time listed is June 7 at 5:00AM ET, and the market also spells out special resolution rules for cancellation, long delays, forfeits, walkovers, and unfinished games.
A single League of Legends game can land on either side of 30.5 kills depending on draft style, early skirmishes, objective fights, and whether the teams play cleanly or trade aggressively. That uncertainty is especially relevant in a playoff setting, where team quality, bracket pressure, and series context can change how risk-taking looks from one game to the next. This market is essentially pricing whether Game 4 turns into a lower-event control game or a more chaotic, fight-heavy map.
Anything that changes the expected pace of Game 4 can move this market: side selection, champion drafts that favor scaling versus engage, and whether the series reaches a tense, elimination-style state that encourages more fights. If earlier games in the match trend toward high or low kill totals, that can also shape expectations for the fourth game, since teams often reveal their comfort in tempo and map style over a long series. Because the market is tied to one specific game, even a close early lead or a single decisive mid-game fight can make 30.5 look ambitious or modest.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 4 is actually played and completed, since the rules say canceled matches, long delays beyond seven days, forfeits, walkovers, or unfinished games resolve to 50-50 instead of Over or Under. The official source of truth is listed as gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not published within two hours after the event ends. It is also worth checking that the result source records the remade game only if a remake happens, because that affects how the kill total is counted.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 31 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-0.1%
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market