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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: if the series reaches Game 5, does any player on either side land a Quadra Kill? The title and URL point to a TES vs. WE matchup, so the main thing to watch is not just who wins the series, but whether the deciding game produces one of the game’s biggest multi-kill moments.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player kills four enemy champions in quick succession, and the market resolves "Yes" if that happens at any point in Game 5. A Penta Kill also counts, because it includes a Quadra Kill on the way to five kills. If Game 5 is never played, is canceled, is pushed back too far, or ends up unnecessary because the series is decided earlier, the market is set to 50-50 instead of a normal yes/no result.
This market focuses on a high-variance event inside a single game, where team fights, late-game items, and one clean cleanup can flip the outcome instantly. Even strong teams can play very differently in a decisive fifth map, especially if the draft encourages scaling carries or repeated 5v5 fights around objectives. That makes the question less about the series winner and more about whether the final game becomes chaotic enough for a four-kill streak.
The biggest swing factor is whether the series actually goes the distance and reaches Game 5, because no fifth game means the market cannot resolve in the usual way. If the draft in the earlier games suggests high-damage team fights, reset-heavy champions, or multiple carry threats, that can make a Quadra Kill feel more plausible than a slow, low-action game state. A late-game stomp, a Baron fight, or one player getting fed enough to clean up multiple kills are the kinds of in-game moments that matter most here.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check that Game 5 is officially played and completed, since forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, or a series ending before Game 5 all trigger the special 50-50 rule. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg, so the key question is whether that source records a Quadra Kill in the remade or final version of the game. Because the rule set treats a remake differently from a stopped game, readers should verify which version of Game 5 counts and whether any multi-kill happened before the match ended.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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