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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 5 between Top Esports and Team WE: will both teams take Baron Nashor at least once before the game ends? Because Baron is one of the biggest swing objectives in the game, a single take can change how a late-game map plays out, which makes this a sharper read on match pace than a simple winner market.
The title refers to Game 5 of a TES vs. WE series, so the outcome only matters if the match actually reaches a deciding fifth game. Resolution is tied to whether Top Esports and Team WE each secure Baron Nashor at least once in that game, using official results from GOL.gg as the source of truth unless those results are unavailable in time.
This market captures uncertainty about how long and how chaotic the game will be. Some League of Legends games end before Baron is ever taken, while others feature repeated objective trades, so the market is really pricing the chance that both teams get at least one turn at the game’s most important neutral objective.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 5 can move this market: draft choices that suggest scaling or hard engage, roster or substitution news, and the broader matchup style of Top Esports and Team WE. If the series appears likely to be close and slow, the chance of multiple Baron contests rises; if one side looks likely to snowball early and finish quickly, the odds of both teams taking Baron usually fall.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether a Game 5 is actually played, since the rules say the market resolves 50-50 if the series ends before a fifth game or if the match is canceled, delayed too long, forfeited, or walked over. If Game 5 is played, the relevant source is the official result page on GOL.gg, and readers should check whether the final game record shows both teams credited with a Baron take before any surrender, remake, or stoppage. The cutoff is the scheduled end date shown on the page, so any late or incomplete official reporting matters for how the market settles.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Team WE each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 5. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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