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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 5 between Top Esports and Team WE, will both teams manage to take at least one elemental dragon before the game ends? Because the market only cares about Game 5, it matters whether the series actually reaches a fifth map and whether the game lasts long enough for both sides to get on the dragon board.
The resolution is straightforward: it is a Yes only if Top Esports and Team WE each slay at least one elemental dragon in Game 5. Elemental dragons are the early and midgame dragons that spawn in the pit starting at 5:00 game time; Elder Dragon kills do not count here, even if they happen later in the same game. If Game 5 is never played for any reason, or if the series ends before a fifth game is needed, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
This is an in-game objective market, so the uncertainty comes from how the draft, team style, and game pace shape control around dragon pits. Some League games are decided quickly through side lanes or early fights, while others turn into slower objective trades where both teams secure at least one dragon. Fans following Top Esports and Team WE will care because Game 5 is usually the most pressured map in a series, and that pressure can change how aggressively each team contests dragons.
Anything that affects the likelihood of a long, contested Game 5 can matter: draft choices that favor early fighting, scaling, or neutral-objective control; roster changes or substitutions; and the overall match score that determines whether a Game 5 is even required. Within the game itself, early kills, first dragon control, repeated skirmishes around the dragon pit, and tempo advantages can all change whether both teams get on the dragon clock. If one team snowballs hard enough to avoid extended objective trading, that makes a both-teams-dragon result less likely.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check whether the series actually reaches Game 5 and whether the game completes under the stated rules. The key source of truth is the official game result and in-game objective record for Top Esports vs. Team WE, because only elemental dragon kills by each team count and Elder Dragons do not. If the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, decided before Game 5, or Game 5 ends unusually early through surrender or stoppage, the special resolution rules in the description control the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Team WE each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 5. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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