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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Games Total: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 20%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $21.7K in liquidity.
Probability
20%
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$21.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
80.5%
Change
+13.5%
High
80.5%
Low
66.5%
Under moved from 67% to 80.5% over the last week, trading between 66.5% and 80.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
72 points
This market is about whether the LPL Playoffs upper bracket final between Top Esports and Team WE goes the full distance and reaches a fifth game. In League of Legends playoff series, a 4.5 line is a simple way to ask whether the matchup becomes a short closeout or a longer, back-and-forth series.
The specific event here is the LoL Upper bracket final in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 7 at 5:00 AM ET, with Top Esports facing Team WE. The market resolves to Over if the series contains 5 or more games, and Under if the match ends in fewer than 5. Because the line is set at 4.5, readers should think in terms of whether this becomes a full five-game series or gets decided earlier.
This market exists because playoff League of Legends series can swing sharply depending on team form, draft strength, and how evenly matched the teams are on the day. Top Esports and Team WE are both recognizable LPL names, so the question is not just who wins, but whether the matchup is competitive enough to force a deciding game. The market is effectively pricing disagreement over how close the series will be, not just the final winner.
Anything that changes expectations about series length can move this market: a dominant first map, signs that one team has a clear draft or stylistic edge, or lineup information that suggests a stronger or weaker five-game path. Because this is a playoff match, fans will also watch whether either side tends to trade maps, especially if the teams are known for volatile early games or late-game setups. If the series format, start time, or roster availability changes, those details can affect how likely a five-game result looks.
The current market price implies roughly a 20% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official match result, the number of games actually played, and whether the series finished normally. The market rules say forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, or defaults count toward the total only if the match is completed, while a canceled match, a tie, or a result left unresolved beyond 7 days can lead to a 50-50 outcome. Resolution is supposed to follow official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting used only if final results are not posted there within 2 hours after the event ends.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Games Total: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 20%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $21.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Top Esports and Team WE play 5 or more games in this series. If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 20%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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