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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$140.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
95%
Change
+43.5%
High
95%
Low
44.5%
Team Secret Whales moved from 51.5% to 95% over the full available history, trading between 44.5% and 95%.
Team Secret Whales price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about which team draws first blood in Game 3 of the LCP Playoffs grand final between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming. Because the outcome is tied to a single in-game event, the main thing to watch is whether Game 3 is actually played and, if so, which side gets the first kill before any remake or stoppage.
The specific question here is simple: in Game 3 of this grand final, will Team Secret Whales or Deep Cross Gaming secure the first blood? In League of Legends, first blood usually means the first champion kill of the game, so the market is not asking who wins the series overall, only which team lands that opening kill in the third game. The match is listed for June 7 at 5:00AM ET, and the resolution is tied to official results from gol.gg, with a backup to credible reporting if final results are not posted quickly enough.
There is real uncertainty because first blood can go either way even in a high-stakes final, and the opening minutes depend on draft, lane matchups, jungle pathing, and early aggression. Team Secret Whales appears heavily favored on the market, but that does not determine a first-blood outcome in a single game. Readers may care because this is a very specific, rules-based event inside a playoff final, and the contract reflects disagreement about whether the early game will open in Secret Whales’ favor or give Deep Cross Gaming the first play.
Any sign that Game 3 will be played as scheduled can matter, because a cancellation, long delay, or forfeit would force a 50-50 result under the rules. If the series goes to a decisive Game 3, draft and lineup choices are the biggest practical drivers: more aggressive early-game champions, stronger jungle pressure, or a composition built to fight for river control can all change how likely first blood looks. A remake, a delayed start, or any official update about the match format or result source would also be important because this market has special settlement rules for incomplete or remade games.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, check whether Game 3 is actually played and completed, since the rules treat cancellations, long delays, forfeits, and games without a first blood differently. The key source of truth is official result information from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are not published within two hours after the event ends. If the game is remade, the first blood before the remake still counts; if no first blood occurs in a completed game, or if the match is never played, the market resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Team Secret Whales
95%
Deep Cross Gaming
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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