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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 4 of Team Secret Whales vs. Deep Cross Gaming: will both sides take Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the biggest late-game objectives in LoL, so this is really a read on how long, back-and-forth, and objective-heavy the game turns out to be. Because the outcome depends on a single match and a single neutral monster, the result can swing quickly if one team closes early or the game ends before Baron comes into play.
The title points to Game 4 in the series between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming, and the market resolves to Yes only if each team slays Baron Nashor at least once during that game. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and can reappear every 6 minutes after it is killed, so the question is really whether the teams reach multiple Baron fights and trade control across the map. If Game 4 is never played, is canceled, is delayed beyond the stated window, or is no longer needed because the series ends earlier, the market resolves to 50-50 under the posted rules.
This market has uncertainty because Baron is not guaranteed in every professional game: some matches end through early advantages, split-push pressure, or a decisive base siege before Baron matters. Whether both Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming will each secure it at least once depends on draft, pace, and how even the game stays after the 20-minute mark. Readers care because Baron control is often a marker of a long, contested game, and this market is effectively asking whether Game 4 will produce that kind of objective trading.
The biggest price moves will come from anything that changes the expected length and volatility of Game 4: draft styles that favor scaling, waveclear, or late-game teamfights can make multiple Baron setups more plausible, while a one-sided early snowball can make the answer much less likely. Series context also matters, because if one team can close quickly or the match is not actually reached as Game 4, the chance of a double-Baron game drops sharply. On the day, the map state, repeated mid- and late-game fights, and whether either team secures Baron before a decisive end are the concrete in-game developments to watch.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that Game 4 is actually played and completed, since the rules send canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary games to 50-50. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg esports, so the key thing is whether that site records Baron takes in the remade or completed Game 4; if the game is remade, only the remade version counts. The main ambiguity to watch for is an incomplete game ending by surrender, because the market then resolves from Baron kills already recorded before stoppage, and otherwise to No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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