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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 4: will both Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming manage to take at least one elemental dragon during that game? Dragon control matters in LoL because it can shape tempo, map pressure, and later win conditions, so even a single dragon denial or trade can decide how this market resolves.
The event is Game 4 of the series between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming, scheduled to resolve by June 7, 2026 at 15:00 UTC unless the game is delayed or never played. The market is not about who wins the game or the series; it is only about whether each team secures at least one elemental dragon during Game 4. Elemental dragons are the standard dragons that spawn at the dragon pit starting around five minutes into the game, while Elder Dragon kills do not count for this market.
This exact question has uncertainty because some games feature active dragon trading on both sides, while others are controlled by one team or end before both teams can tag a dragon. In League of Legends, the matchup, draft, early-game pathing, and objective trading patterns can all affect whether each side gets a dragon at least once. The market is effectively pricing whether Game 4 will be a contest with shared neutral-objective access or a one-sided objective game.
Draft choices that signal early skirmishing, strong jungle pressure, or teams built to contest first dragon can make a 'Yes' outcome more likely. A style that focuses on split map play, avoiding early fights, or simply snowballing one side of the map can reduce the chance that both teams claim a dragon before the game ends. If the series situation changes so Game 4 is never played, or if the game is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, or ends in a walkover/forfeit, the market rules shift away from a normal game result and toward 50-50.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the actual Game 4 result and in-game objective log, not the series score alone. Readers should verify that the match is officially completed, that Game 4 was actually played, and that each team slayed at least one elemental dragon during that game; Elder Dragon kills do not count. The main ambiguity to watch for is the special settlement language: if Game 4 is never played, is not needed because the series is decided, or is delayed too long, the market does not resolve as a normal yes/no game event.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 4. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 4. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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