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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$140.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
95%
Change
+45%
High
95%
Low
50%
Team Secret Whales moved from 50% to 95% over the full available history, trading between 50% and 95%.
Team Secret Whales price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks a very specific question about Game 4 of the Grand Final between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Playoffs: which side will draw first blood. In League of Legends, first blood is the opening kill, and it often reflects which team gets the sharper early read on the map, lanes, and jungle pressure. Because the outcome is tied to one game inside one series, it depends heavily on draft, early pathing, and how aggressively each team plays the opening minutes.
The event here is the grand final match between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET, with this market focused only on Game 4. Resolution goes to the team that secures the first kill in that game, not the winner of the game or the match. If the game is not completed, is remade, or is never played because of cancellation, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or a delay beyond 7 days, the rules specify either the team that got first blood before stoppage or a 50-50 resolution if first blood never happens.
This is a narrow esports question because the outcome can swing on a single early fight, invade, or lane setup, and those moments are not fully predictable even in a high-stakes final. Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming are both in a setting where roster execution, draft choices, and early-game style matter a lot, so readers may reasonably disagree on who is likelier to strike first in Game 4. The market is essentially pricing that disagreement over opening tempo rather than who will win the series outright.
Anything that changes expectations for the Game 4 draft or early-game style can move this market, especially if one side has shown a stronger habit of level-one pressure, lane priority, or coordinated jungle movement in the series. If the match reaches a tied or close state heading into Game 4, viewers may expect both teams to play more carefully, while an elimination or momentum spot can sometimes lead to more aggressive early plans. Because the market resolves from the official Game 4 result, any remake, interruption, or unusual match ruling could also matter a great deal under the stated rules.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that Game 4 is actually played and completed, since the rules treat cancellations, long delays, forfeits, and unresolved games differently. The source of truth is official information from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also pay attention to whether Game 4 is remade or stopped early, because the first blood timing relative to that stoppage determines the outcome under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Team Secret Whales
95%
Deep Cross Gaming
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 4 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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