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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a narrow question about the deciding game of a League of Legends series: will anyone secure a Quadra Kill in Game 5? Because a Quadra Kill means one player takes down four enemy champions in quick succession, it usually comes from a chaotic late-game fight, so this is the kind of highlight that can swing on team comp, positioning, and game pace.
The title does not name the teams, so the key context is simply that this is about Game 5 of a best-of series in League of Legends. The market resolves Yes if any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during that game, and a Penta Kill also counts because it includes a Quadra Kill along the way. If Game 5 is never played for any of the listed reasons, the market resolves to 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Game 5s are often the highest-pressure, most aggressive part of a series, which can create more chances for big multi-kill moments, but not every final game turns into a high-kill brawl. The uncertainty here is whether the draft, pace, and teamfighting in that specific map produce one of the classic reset-heavy damage windows where a single player can chain four kills before the fight ends. Readers should treat this as a question about the shape of one game, not the broader series result.
Any change that affects how Game 5 is likely to play can matter here: a draft built around late-game teamfights, carry champions with strong cleanup potential, or lineups known for clustering around objectives can all make a Quadra Kill more plausible. By contrast, a low-action game with early surrender, a one-sided stomp, or a series that never reaches Game 5 would reduce the chance that the event happens or trigger the market’s special 50-50 rules. Because the market hinges on a single game, even small roster, patch, or match-schedule changes can have an outsized effect on expectations.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is the official match result information on gol.gg, which the market uses for resolution. Before the market settles, verify that Game 5 is actually played, completed, and not voided by a cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or a series result that ends the match before a fifth game is needed. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the match ends early by surrender, the key question is whether a Quadra Kill happened before play stopped.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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