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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: if Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming reach a decisive Game 5, will both teams secure Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most game-shaping objectives in League, whether both sides take it often depends on how long the game lasts, how evenly the teams trade control, and whether either side can convert a lead into a finish before the objective even matters.
The outcome is tied to Game 5 of the series between Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming, so the key setup is that the match must actually reach a fifth map for this market to matter. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and can be taken again after each respawn, so the result is not about who wins the game, but whether both teams each slay Baron at least once during that single game. The market resolves to Yes only if Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming both do so in Game 5; if either side fails to secure Baron, it resolves to No.
This market is really about game texture, not just the final score. Some League of Legends games never get to Baron at all, while others become long, back-and-forth battles where both teams take turns controlling the map and the neutral objectives. Because Game 5 is usually the most pressure-filled game in a series, readers are watching for whether the teams draft for late-game scaling, stall out the map, or instead play a quicker style that could prevent both Baron takes from happening.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a long, contested Game 5 can move this market. Drafts that favor scaling, waveclear, or slow objective setups generally make it more plausible that both teams will reach Baron at least once, while aggressive snowball compositions can shorten the game and reduce the chance of a second Baron holder. Early kills, turret pressure, or a one-sided map state can also matter because a team that gets a big lead may finish before the other side ever secures Baron, and that would push the market toward No.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The important thing to verify is whether the series actually reaches Game 5 and whether that game is completed in a way that can be scored from the official match record. The stated resolution source is gol.gg, so readers should look for the official Game 5 result there rather than relying on highlights or social posts. One edge case to watch is that if the game is never played, is canceled, or is stopped before completion, the market rules use special fallback outcomes, and if the game ends in surrender the key question is whether both Baron slays happened before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team Secret Whales and Deep Cross Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 5. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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