Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $21.3K in 24h volume, and $5.6K in liquidity.
Probability
19%
24h Volume
$21.3K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
18.5%
Change
-31.5%
High
79.5%
Low
10.5%
Judge moved from 50% to 18.5% over the last month, trading between 10.5% and 79.5%.
Judge price history from Polymarket CLOB.
56 points
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $21.3K in 24h volume, and $5.6K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Judge
18.5%
Soto
81.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Sep 28, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 19%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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