Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $412.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$412.3K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-50.4%
High
56%
Low
0.1%
Baltimore Orioles moved from 50.5% to 0.1% over the last week, trading between 0.1% and 56%.
Baltimore Orioles price history from Polymarket CLOB.
77 points
This market asks a simple baseball question: which team will win the MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays on June 6 at 3:07 PM ET. Because the result is tied to one scheduled regular-season game, the main things to watch are whether the game is completed as planned and which lineup and pitching decisions shape the final score.
The two outcomes are Baltimore Orioles or Toronto Blue Jays, and the market resolves to the team that wins the game. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the matchup is actually completed; if it is canceled outright with no makeup game, or if it ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50. The resolution source is the official final statistics from the event’s governing body or organizers, with credible reporting used only if official final stats are not available within 24 hours after the game ends.
Baseball games can turn on a few high-leverage moments: the starting pitchers, bullpen usage, defensive mistakes, and late-inning scoring. That creates uncertainty even when one side is clearly preferred by the market, especially in a single-game format where one bad inning can flip the result. The market is currently tilted very heavily toward Toronto, which means readers are watching whether Baltimore can outperform that expectation or whether the Blue Jays hold form at home or on the road, depending on the game site.
The biggest price moves usually come from lineup confirmations, starting pitcher announcements, and late scratches or injuries, because those directly affect run expectation for one game. Weather delays, postponements, or a change in game status can also matter here because the market stays open if the game is delayed and only settles once it is actually completed. During the game, early scoring, pitching changes, and any extra-inning path toward a tie or unusual finish are the kinds of developments that can move the market most quickly.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that the game was officially completed and that the final score is recognized by the league or event organizers. If the game is postponed, the market does not settle until the makeup game is played, so the scheduled June 6 start time is not the only thing that matters. One detail to keep an eye on is the tie rule in the market description: if the game ends in a tie or is canceled with no makeup, the result is not assigned to either team but resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $412.3K in 24h volume.
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Baltimore Orioles
0%
Toronto Blue Jays
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 6 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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