Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $394.5K in 24h volume, and $50.5K in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$394.5K
Liquidity
$50.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
4.5%
Change
-39%
High
93.5%
Low
4.5%
Baltimore Orioles moved from 43.5% to 4.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 4.5% and 93.5%.
Baltimore Orioles price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks which team will win the June 7 MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays. It is worth watching because baseball outcomes can turn quickly with lineup changes, pitching decisions, and late-game bullpen usage, and the market is already leaning heavily toward Baltimore.
The event is a single regular-season game scheduled for June 7 at 1:37 PM ET between the Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays. If Baltimore wins, the market resolves to Baltimore Orioles; if Toronto wins, it resolves to Toronto Blue Jays. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is actually completed, and if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
There is uncertainty because even in a one-game matchup, a starting pitcher, lineup rest, weather, or an extra-innings finish can change the outcome. Orioles-Blue Jays games also matter because both are division rivals in the AL East, so the result can carry more weight than a random midseason game. The market is pricing a clear Baltimore advantage, but baseball games still leave room for surprise.
Confirmed lineups, a late scratch, or a change in the announced starting pitcher can move this market quickly. Rain delays, postponement risk, and any sign that the game may be completed on a different date matter because the market stays open until the game is finished. During the game, early scoring, bullpen moves, or a dominant pitching performance can shift expectations sharply in either direction.
The current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official final score for the June 7 Orioles-Blue Jays game and whether it was completed, postponed, canceled, or ended in a tie. The settlement rules say the primary source is the official final statistics recognized by the league, with credible reporting only used if official final stats are not published within 24 hours after the event ends. Readers should also verify whether any make-up game was scheduled, because that would keep the market open until the matchup is decided.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $394.5K in 24h volume, and $50.5K in liquidity.
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Baltimore Orioles
14.5%
Toronto Blue Jays
85.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 7 at 1:37PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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