Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, $821 in 24h volume, and $17 in liquidity.
Probability
76%
24h Volume
$821
Liquidity
$17
This market asks whether either the Boston Red Sox or New York Yankees will score in the first inning of their June 6 MLB matchup. Early-inning scoring is a small but important slice of a baseball game, so this is a simple yes-or-no question tied to one specific game and its official box score.
The event is the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees game scheduled for June 6 at 7:35 PM ET, and the settlement depends only on whether at least one run is scored in the 1st inning. A single run by either team in that inning makes the outcome “Yes”; if both teams are held scoreless in the first, it resolves “No.” If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played, and if it is canceled entirely with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
First-inning scoring is often uncertain because it depends on the starting pitchers, the top of the batting order, and how quickly each team settles in. Red Sox-Yankees games also draw attention because they are one of baseball’s most familiar rivalries, which makes even a narrow scoring question feel meaningful to fans watching the opener of the game. The market is essentially pricing disagreement about whether the game will start with immediate offense or a scoreless frame.
The biggest drivers are the confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup changes, and any injury or rest news that changes who is batting near the top of the order. Weather conditions can matter too, since wind, rain delays, or a cold night may affect scoring chances and whether the game starts on time. Once lineups are posted and the first inning begins, the price should move quickly based on whether either side looks set up for an early run.
The current market price implies roughly a 76% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are the official game status, the final score by inning, and whether the contest was completed or postponed to a makeup date. The market uses the official final statistics recognized by the league or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback only if final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. If the game is delayed or moved, readers should check the home team’s MLB.com schedule for the listed makeup game, because that controls when the market finally settles.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, $821 in 24h volume, and $17 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
75.5%
No
24.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 6 at 7:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Boston Red Sox or New York Yankees. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 76%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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