Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $675.6 in 24h volume, and $2.6K in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$675.6
Liquidity
$2.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
10%
Change
-17.5%
High
29%
Low
10%
Over moved from 27.5% to 10% over the full available history, trading between 10% and 29%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will combine for at least 11 runs in their June 8 game. It is a straightforward total-runs line, so the focus is less on who wins and more on whether the matchup becomes a high-scoring game. The current pricing suggests traders are leaning toward a lower-scoring result, but the gap is not wide enough to ignore a sudden change in conditions.
The question is whether the Red Sox-Rays matchup finishes Over 10.5 total runs or Under 10.5, with 11 or more combined runs resolving to Over. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET, and settlement follows the official final statistics for the completed game. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Totals markets like this hinge on a mix of lineup strength, starting pitching, bullpen depth, and ballpark conditions, all of which can make a single game much more or less likely to turn into a scoring spree. Boston and Tampa Bay are familiar AL East opponents, so there is usually enough familiarity for both teams to game-plan carefully, but baseball scoring can still swing sharply on one bad inning, extra-base hits, or late bullpen trouble. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether this specific matchup will stay controlled or cross into double-digit total runs.
The biggest price moves usually come from confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup changes, and any weather or park-factor news that changes the expected run environment. If either club scratches a key hitter, rests regulars, or announces a less effective bullpen option, that can shift the total quickly. In-play scoring, early pitching struggles, or an unusually high pitch count for the starters can also move the market toward Over in a hurry.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the game, the most important things to verify are the official starting lineups, the announced starting pitchers, and whether weather could delay or alter the game’s run environment. If the matchup is postponed, readers should check the home team’s schedule on MLB.com for the makeup date, since that determines when the market finally resolves. For settlement, the source of truth is the official final game statistics, and if those are not published within 24 hours, credible reporting can be used instead; that makes it worth checking the final box score rather than relying on casual score updates.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $675.6 in 24h volume, and $2.6K in liquidity.
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Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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