Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 80%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $3.6K in liquidity.
Probability
80%
24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
71.5%
Change
-11%
High
83.5%
Low
71.5%
Over moved from 82.5% to 71.5% over the full available history, trading between 71.5% and 83.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will combine for at least 5 runs in their June 8 MLB matchup. Because the line is set at 4.5 runs, even a modest scoring game changes the outcome, so the exact run total matters more than who wins. It is a straightforward baseball total tied to the official final score.
The question is whether the Red Sox-Rays game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET finishes with 5 or more combined runs. If the two teams score 4 runs or fewer, the market resolves to Under; if they reach 5 or more, it resolves to Over. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50 under the market rules.
Run totals in baseball can swing on starting pitching, bullpen usage, weather, ballpark effects, and lineup availability, so a 4.5 line always leaves room for disagreement. A low number like this suggests the market is balancing the chance of a tighter, lower-scoring game against the possibility of a few early runs or late scoring pushing it over. For readers, the key question is whether this specific matchup profiles as a quiet game or one with enough offense to clear the number.
For this market, the biggest swing factors are the confirmed starting pitchers, any late lineup scratches, and whether either team is resting regular hitters. Weather can matter too, especially wind and rain risk, since those conditions can change how many runs are likely to score or whether the game is delayed and rescheduled. If the score starts slowly, in-game expectations can also shift quickly as innings pass without runs.
The current market price implies roughly a 80% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is the official final score of the game, since the market settles on the combined runs credited by the governing body or event organizers. If the game is postponed, readers should check the home team’s MLB.com schedule for the makeup date, because the market remains open until that game is completed. The only real ambiguity to watch for is a cancellation with no makeup game, which the rules say resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 80%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $3.6K in liquidity.
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Over
79.5%
Under
20.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 5 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 80%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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