Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 61%, $472.1 in 24h volume, and $9K in liquidity.
Probability
61%
24h Volume
$472.1
Liquidity
$9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
52%
Change
-20%
High
80%
Low
52%
Over moved from 72% to 52% over the last day, trading between 52% and 80%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks whether the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will combine for at least six runs in their June 8 MLB matchup. Totals like 5.5 are a quick way to frame a game’s expected scoring environment, so this page is mainly about whether the offenses, starting pitchers, and bullpens push the final score above or below that line.
The question is simple: will the Red Sox and Rays score 6 or more total runs in the game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET? If the teams finish with 5 runs or fewer combined, the market resolves to Under; if they reach 6 or more, it resolves to Over. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed, and if it is canceled with no makeup game, it settles 50-50 under the stated rules.
Run totals in MLB can swing on a few practical factors that are easy to miss before first pitch: the starting pitchers, the weather, the ballpark, and whether either lineup is missing key hitters. The Red Sox and Rays are division rivals, so the matchup is familiar, but even familiar teams can land far above or below a 5.5 total depending on who is available and how the game unfolds. The market reflects disagreement over whether this particular contest will be a low-scoring pitching game or a more open offensive one.
The biggest price movers for an over/under like this are confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup changes, and any injury or rest news that affects run production. If either team scratches an everyday hitter, or if the announced starters are high-strikeout arms expected to limit baserunners, that can pull attention toward the Under; a bullpen-heavy game or shaky starter can do the opposite. Weather, especially wind and rain delays, can also matter because they can change both scoring conditions and how long a starter stays in the game.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 61% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, check that the scheduled first pitch actually happened and that any postponement is handled according to the rules. The official final score is the key source of truth, with MLB game stats taking priority and a credible reporting consensus only used if final official numbers are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. If the game is moved, the relevant detail is the makeup date on the home team’s MLB.com schedule, since that determines when the market should finally resolve.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 61%, $472.1 in 24h volume, and $9K in liquidity.
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Over
60.5%
Under
39.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 6 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 61%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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