Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $2.1K in 24h volume, and $17.8K in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
42.5%
Change
-21.5%
High
64.5%
Low
42.5%
Over moved from 64% to 42.5% over the full available history, trading between 42.5% and 64.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will combine for at least seven runs in their June 8 game. In baseball, totals can swing quickly with one big inning, so the over/under line is really a question about both teams’ offenses, starting pitching, bullpen depth, and the game conditions on that night.
The settlement line is 6.5 runs for the MLB matchup between Boston and Tampa Bay, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET. If the final combined score is 7 or more, the market resolves to Over; if the teams finish with 6 or fewer total runs, it resolves to Under. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Totals markets like this one depend on a mix of factors that are known before first pitch but still uncertain: starting pitchers, lineup strength, relief pitching, park effects, and whether either team can string together extra-base hits or home runs. The Red Sox and Rays are division rivals who see each other often, which can make pregame expectations especially sensitive to recent form and the specific pitching matchup. Readers watching this market are really watching whether the game looks like a low-scoring grind or one with enough traffic on the bases to push past the number.
Confirmed starting pitchers, lineup announcements, scratches, or a late change in available pitchers can move the price because they directly affect run-scoring expectations. Weather and park conditions matter too, especially if wind or rain changes how the ball carries or whether the game is delayed and turns into a bullpen-heavy contest. Early scoring, a short outing from either starter, or an unusual number of walks and extra-base hits can also shift expectations quickly once the game begins.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check whether the game is played to completion and, if postponed, whether MLB lists a makeup date on the home team’s schedule as the rules specify. The official final statistics are the primary source for settlement, so the exact final score matters more than live impressions or partial box scores. If there is any dispute, the key thing to verify is the completed game’s official total runs and whether the event was canceled entirely, because that is what determines whether the contract settles Over, Under, or 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $2.1K in 24h volume, and $17.8K in liquidity.
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Over
51%
Under
49%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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