Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 36%, $347.4K in 24h volume, and $22.1K in liquidity.
Probability
36%
24h Volume
$347.4K
Liquidity
$22.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
28.5%
Change
-23.5%
High
58%
Low
28.5%
Over moved from 52% to 28.5% over the last day, trading between 28.5% and 58%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks whether the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will combine for at least eight runs in their June 8 MLB game. The total matters because baseball scoring can swing quickly with one big inning, and the over/under is set right near the middle of a typical game range.
The question is straightforward: in the scheduled Red Sox-Rays game at 6:40 PM ET on June 8, will the two teams’ final score total be 8 or more runs, or fewer than 8? If the game is completed and the final combined runs reach eight or higher, the market resolves to Over; if the total is seven or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
A total like 7.5 is uncertain because it sits close to the point where one extra run changes the result. For a Red Sox-Rays matchup, readers will care about the starting pitchers, bullpen usage, lineup strength, and whether either team is likely to generate enough offense to push the game into higher-scoring territory. The market is pricing a small disagreement about whether this specific matchup will land just above or just below that line.
The biggest price movers are lineup news, especially if a team rests regular hitters or scratches a key batter before first pitch. Starting pitcher changes matter as well, since a late swap can strongly affect expected scoring, and weather or park conditions can also influence run environment if they make the ball carry better or worse. During the game, early runs, an injury, or heavy bullpen use can quickly shift the outlook for whether the final total reaches eight.
The current market price implies roughly a 36% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, readers should verify the game is actually played and finished, since a postponement keeps the market open and a canceled game resolves 50-50. The settlement source is the official final statistics recognized by MLB or the event organizers, with credible reporting used only if final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. If there is any delay or makeup game, the home team’s MLB.com schedule is the key place to confirm when the game will be completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 36%, $347.4K in 24h volume, and $22.1K in liquidity.
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Over
36%
Under
64%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 36%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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