Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $14.6K in 24h volume, and $12.5K in liquidity.
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$14.6K
Liquidity
$12.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
21.5%
Change
-23%
High
44.5%
Low
21.5%
Over moved from 44.5% to 21.5% over the full available history, trading between 21.5% and 44.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about how many runs the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will score in their June 8 MLB game, with the line set at 8.5 runs. Because a half-run line can only settle one way, the main question is whether the two teams finish with 8 runs or fewer, or push the total to 9 or more.
The event is the Red Sox vs. Rays game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET, and the settlement question is simple: will the combined final score be over or under 8.5 runs? "Over" wins if both teams together score 9 or more; "Under" wins if the game ends with 8 or fewer total runs. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is completed, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it settles 50-50.
An MLB totals market like this is usually driven by uncertainty around starting pitchers, bullpen depth, lineup strength, weather, and whether the game becomes high-scoring or stays controlled. Red Sox-Rays games can be tight because both teams are in the same division and often face each other in familiar ballparks, but the total still depends on who is available and how the game unfolds inning by inning.
Any confirmed change to the starting pitchers, late scratches from the batting order, or a weather-related adjustment can move the number quickly, since totals are sensitive to run-scoring expectations. Early scoring, a bullpen-heavy matchup, or a ballpark and weather setup that looks favorable to offense can make the Over more attractive, while strong pitching matchups or lineups missing key hitters can push attention toward the Under. Because the settlement depends on official final runs, extra-inning games count normally, and any postponement or makeup scheduling detail matters.
The current market price implies roughly a 28% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the game ends, check the official MLB game log and final score, since the market resolves from the recognized final statistics of this specific contest. The key details to verify are whether the game is played to completion, whether any postponement gets moved to a makeup date, and whether the final combined runs reach 9 or stay at 8 or below. If there is any interruption or canceled game, the market rules on makeup games and the 50-50 settlement are especially important.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $14.6K in 24h volume, and $12.5K in liquidity.
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Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 28%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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