Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Probability
19%
24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
14.5%
Change
-18.5%
High
37.5%
Low
14.5%
Over moved from 33% to 14.5% over the last day, trading between 14.5% and 37.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks whether the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will combine for 10 or more runs in their June 8 MLB matchup. It is a straightforward total-runs line, so the main question is whether the game plays more like a low-scoring pitchers' duel or a higher-scoring night driven by traffic, extra-base hits, and bullpen damage.
The title refers to the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays meeting in an MLB game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET. The market resolves to Over if the two teams score at least 10 total runs, and Under if they finish with 9 or fewer. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Run totals in baseball can swing on a few concrete factors: the starting pitchers, late lineup changes, weather, and how early scoring changes the way managers use their bullpens. The Red Sox and Rays are division rivals, which makes the matchup familiar but not predictable, and the 9.5 line signals that the market expects a fairly ordinary scoring environment rather than an extreme one. Readers following this market are mainly weighing whether the teams can get to double-digit combined runs or whether one side keeps the game contained.
Confirmed starting pitchers, last-minute rest days, or a lineup with more regular hitters can change expectations quickly, especially if either club sits key bats. Weather matters too: wind, temperature, and a hitter-friendly setting can make an over more appealing, while cooler conditions or strong pitching weather can push the total toward the under. Early scoring also matters because a fast start can force more aggressive bullpen usage and open up the late innings.
The current market price implies roughly a 19% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official final score from MLB, since that is the primary settlement source for this market. If the game is postponed, the key detail is whether MLB reschedules it as a makeup game on the home team's schedule; if there is no makeup game, the market resolves 50-50. Because this is a total-runs market, any ambiguity usually comes from whether the game was completed and how MLB records the final official statistics, so the safest thing to verify is the completed final box score rather than highlights or live updates.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
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Over
19%
Under
81%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 19%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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