Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays. The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, $370.5K in 24h volume, and $34.8K in liquidity.
Probability
47%
24h Volume
$370.5K
Liquidity
$34.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
44.5%
Change
-7%
High
52.5%
Low
36.5%
Boston Red Sox moved from 51.5% to 44.5% over the last day, trading between 36.5% and 52.5%.
Boston Red Sox price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market tracks the June 8 matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays, two AL East rivals whose head-to-head games often matter for division standings and tiebreakers. Because it is tied to one specific regular-season game, the main thing to watch is simply which team finishes with more runs when the official result is final.
The question here is straightforward: who wins the MLB game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET, Boston or Tampa Bay. If the Red Sox win, the market resolves to Boston Red Sox; if the Rays win, it resolves to Tampa Bay Rays. The rules also say that if the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed, and if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
Even for a single baseball game, there is still uncertainty because the outcome depends on the day’s pitcher matchup, lineup availability, bullpen use, and how the game unfolds inning by inning. The Red Sox and Rays are familiar division opponents, so readers may care about this market as a clean way to follow a specific game with direct settlement tied to the final score rather than season-long narratives. The current pricing is reflecting a near-even view of the matchup, which suggests neither side is being treated as a clear favorite in the market.
The biggest price moves usually come from confirmed lineup changes, starting pitcher announcements, late scratches, or weather-related postponement risk before first pitch. During the game, lead changes, bullpen usage, and any extra-inning scenario can shift the market quickly as the win probability changes play by play. If the game is delayed or suspended, the market can also move based on whether it looks likely to be completed that night or pushed to another date.
The current market price implies roughly a 47% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market settles, check the official final score for the June 8 game and whether it was completed, postponed, or canceled, since those outcomes determine how the contract resolves. The description says the primary source is the official final statistics recognized by the league or event organizers, with credible reporting only becoming relevant if final statistics are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. If the game is suspended or rescheduled, the key detail is whether it is eventually completed, because that keeps the market open until a final result exists.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays. The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, $370.5K in 24h volume, and $34.8K in liquidity.
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Boston Red Sox
47%
Tampa Bay Rays
53%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 47%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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