Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $7.8K in 24h volume, and $6.6K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$7.8K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
92%
Change
+8.5%
High
94%
Low
62%
Philadelphia Phillies moved from 83.5% to 92% over the last hour, trading between 62% and 94%.
Philadelphia Phillies price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the Chicago White Sox can cover a 1.5-run spread against the Philadelphia Phillies in their June 7 MLB game. In plain terms, it asks if the White Sox will win by at least two runs, rather than just win outright or lose by a small margin. Because run lines can flip on late scoring, extra innings, or a one-run finish, this is a narrower question than a simple moneyline pick.
The title, "Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)," means the White Sox must win by 2 or more runs for the market to resolve to Chicago. If Philadelphia wins, or if Chicago wins by exactly one run, the market resolves to Philadelphia under the rules provided. The game is scheduled for June 7 at 1:35 PM ET, and the settlement is tied to the official final game result as recognized by MLB.
A run-line market like this exists because baseball outcomes are often close even when one team is favored, and a one-run win counts very differently from a two-run win here. The White Sox and Phillies are named because the market depends on their specific matchup, not just general season strength, and the spread reflects a narrower margin than a straight win/lose market. Readers are mainly watching whether Chicago can build enough separation over nine innings, or whether Philadelphia can keep the game tight.
This market can move sharply on lineup news, starting pitcher changes, late scratches, or any official adjustment to the game status. In-game scoring matters a lot: an early lead for Chicago can improve the chance of covering the -1.5, while a low-scoring, one-run game late makes the Phillies side more attractive under the settlement rules. Postponement or a makeup-game announcement would also matter, because the market stays open until the game is completed unless it is canceled outright.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the official final score, whether the game was completed, and whether any postponement was turned into a makeup game on the home team’s MLB.com schedule. The rules say the primary source is the official final statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used only if official final stats are still unavailable after 24 hours. Readers should also note that a tied game resolves to Philadelphia here, and a canceled game with no makeup would resolve 50-50 rather than to either team.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $7.8K in 24h volume, and $6.6K in liquidity.
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Chicago White Sox
7.5%
Philadelphia Phillies
92.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 7 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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