Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $19.7K in 24h volume, and $29.9K in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$19.7K
Liquidity
$29.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
23%
Change
-19%
High
57%
Low
23%
Philadelphia Phillies moved from 42% to 23% over the last month, trading between 23% and 57%.
Philadelphia Phillies price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about whether the Philadelphia Phillies will cover the run line against the Chicago White Sox in the June 7 MLB game. The key issue is not who wins outright, but whether Philadelphia wins by at least two runs, which is a narrower and more specific outcome than a straight moneyline result.
The event is the upcoming Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies game scheduled for June 7 at 1:35 PM ET, with settlement tied to the final official result of that game. Philadelphia resolves the market only if it wins by 2 or more runs; any White Sox win, a one-run Phillies win, or a tie goes to Chicago under this market’s rules. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is actually completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
Run-line markets capture a different kind of uncertainty than a simple win/loss bet, because a team can play well enough to win but still fail to cover by enough margin. Phillies games often draw interest because Philadelphia is a high-profile MLB team, while Chicago’s side matters here because the White Sox only need to keep the game close, or win outright, to carry the market. Readers are effectively watching a question about margin of victory, not just which club comes out ahead.
Anything that changes the expected margin can move this market, especially starting pitcher news, late lineup changes, scratches, or a confirmed rest day for key hitters. In-game scoring patterns matter a lot too: an early Phillies lead can support the favorite’s ability to cover, while a low-scoring game keeps the underdog and the +1.5 side more attractive. Weather, postponement risk, and any official change to the scheduled start time can also matter because this market stays open until the game is completed if it is delayed.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the official final score and whether the game is completed without any scoring adjustment or suspended-game wrinkle, since settlement follows the official final statistics recognized by the event organizers. If the game is postponed, readers should check the White Sox home schedule on MLB.com for the makeup date, because the market remains open until the game is played. If official final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends, the rules say credible reporting can be used instead, so the exact final result and whether there is a makeup game are the main details to watch.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $19.7K in 24h volume, and $29.9K in liquidity.
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Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
Chicago White Sox
54.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 7 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
