Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 85%, $108.7K in 24h volume, and $14.7K in liquidity.
Probability
85%
24h Volume
$108.7K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
5%
Change
-44.5%
High
52%
Low
5%
Under moved from 49.5% to 5% over the last month, trading between 5% and 52%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about whether the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies will combine for 10 or more runs in their June 7 MLB game. For a total set at 9.5, every extra run matters: a 5-4 game stays Under, while a 6-4 game flips it to Over.
The event is the Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies game scheduled for June 7 at 1:35 PM ET. The settlement line is simple: if the two teams’ final combined score is 10 runs or more, the market resolves to Over; if they finish with 9 or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Baseball totals are highly sensitive to starting pitchers, bullpen usage, weather, and late-game scoring, so the exact number can swing on one big inning or a few quiet frames. A 9.5 total is especially interesting because it sits right on the border between a mid-scoring game and a higher-scoring one, which is why the market is pricing a real disagreement about whether this matchup lands in the double digits.
The biggest price moves usually come from the announced lineups, the starting pitchers, and any change to the game environment such as weather or park conditions. In a game like White Sox-Phillies, a stronger-than-expected lineup, an early pitching change, or a high-scoring first few innings would push expectations toward Over, while dominant pitching and a quiet offense would support Under. Because the market is tied to the final official run total, any delayed scoring or extra innings also matters.
The current market price implies roughly a 85% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, readers should confirm the official final score from MLB’s game records, since that is the primary source of truth. If the game is postponed, the key detail is whether MLB lists a makeup game on the home team’s schedule; that determines whether the market stays open or can later resolve 50-50 if no makeup is played. The main ambiguity to watch for is not the score itself, but whether the game is completed as one official contest and whether any postponement or cancellation changes the settlement path.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 85%, $108.7K in 24h volume, and $14.7K in liquidity.
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Over
85%
Under
15%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 7 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 85%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
