Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $671.5K in 24h volume, and $29.8K in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$671.5K
Liquidity
$29.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
87.5%
Change
+37.5%
High
87.5%
Low
50%
Philadelphia Phillies moved from 50% to 87.5% over the last week, trading between 50% and 87.5%.
Philadelphia Phillies price history from Polymarket CLOB.
77 points
This market asks which team will win the June 7 MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for 1:35 PM ET. It is the simple game-result question that matters most here: who finishes with the higher score once the final official result is posted.
The matchup is the Chicago White Sox versus the Philadelphia Phillies, two MLB clubs with very different recent baselines and roster expectations, which is why the price can move quickly on lineup news and game-day conditions. The market resolves to the White Sox if Chicago wins, to the Phillies if Philadelphia wins, and it stays open if the game is postponed until the game is actually completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie, the market settles 50-50, and the official final statistics are the main source of truth.
Baseball games can swing on starting pitchers, bullpen usage, late scratches, weather, and travel-related rest, so even a single-day matchup can carry real uncertainty. Readers watching this market are mostly trying to judge which team is better positioned for this specific game, not which club is stronger over a season. The live market is currently giving Chicago a modest edge, which suggests traders see the White Sox as the more likely winner at this moment, but that view can change if the lineup or pregame status shifts.
Confirmed starting pitchers, batting order changes, or an unexpected absence from a key hitter can all move this market before first pitch. Weather delays, postponement risk, or a late pitching change can also matter because the market stays open if the game is not completed as scheduled. Once the game begins, early scoring, bullpen decisions, and any official scoring changes that affect the final result will drive the outcome.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market settles, the most important things to verify are the official final score, whether the game was fully completed, and whether any postponement or cancellation changed the settlement rule. If there is any ambiguity, the market description controls: postponed games remain open until completion, while a canceled game with no make-up or a tie resolves 50-50. The deadline listed on the page is June 14 at 17:35 UTC, but the key event is still the June 7 game itself, so readers should check the official MLB result rather than relying on early box-score snapshots.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $671.5K in 24h volume, and $29.8K in liquidity.
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Chicago White Sox
11.5%
Philadelphia Phillies
88.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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