Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $544K in 24h volume, and $421.3K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$544K
Liquidity
$421.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.4%
High
61.5%
Low
0.1%
Minnesota Twins moved from 49.5% to 0.1% over the last day, trading between 0.1% and 61.5%.
Minnesota Twins price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks a simple question about the June 7 MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins: which team will be credited with the win? Because baseball games can swing on a single inning, the outcome often comes down to starting pitching, bullpen management, and late-game defense.
The event is an upcoming regular-season Major League Baseball game scheduled for June 7 at 2:10 PM ET, with the Kansas City Royals facing the Minnesota Twins. The market resolves to Kansas City if the Royals win and to Minnesota if the Twins win. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, or if it ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
Baseball games are decided on the field, but the result is not known until the final out, and a postponed or unusual finish can change how the market settles. The Royals and Twins are division rivals in the American League Central, so this is the kind of matchup where small lineup or pitching changes can matter a lot. The market reflects disagreement over which side is better positioned to take this specific game.
Any change that affects the expected lineup or pitching matchup can move this market, especially if a starter is scratched, a bullpen option is unavailable, or a key hitter is ruled out before first pitch. Weather-related delays, postponement risk, or news that changes the game’s scheduling can also matter because the rules treat postponed and canceled games differently. Once the game begins, live scoring, lead changes, and extra innings will be the main drivers of the price.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is whether the game is played to completion, since a postponement keeps the market open and a cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Readers should also check the official final statistics or the governing body’s game result, since that is the primary settlement source; if those final stats are not published within 24 hours, credible reporting may be used instead. The deadline shown on the market page is June 14, 2026, but the actual resolution depends on when the June 7 game is completed and officially recorded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $544K in 24h volume, and $421.3K in liquidity.
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Kansas City Royals
100%
Minnesota Twins
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for June 7 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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