Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 87%, $8.6K in 24h volume, and $8.2K in liquidity.
Probability
87%
24h Volume
$8.6K
Liquidity
$8.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
83%
Change
+34.5%
High
84%
Low
39.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers moved from 48.5% to 83% over the last hour, trading between 39.5% and 84%.
Los Angeles Dodgers price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the Los Angeles Dodgers will cover a 2.5-run run line against the Los Angeles Angels in the June 6 MLB game. Because the outcome depends on the final margin rather than just who wins, a one-run or two-run Dodgers victory still settles to the Angels side here.
The title refers to a standard baseball spread: Dodgers (-2.5) means Los Angeles must win by at least three runs for the Dodgers outcome to win. The market is tied to the Dodgers-Angels game scheduled for June 6 at 10:10 PM ET, and it resolves from the official final game result under the rules in the description. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup, the market settles 50-50.
This market is about a concrete baseball question where the winning team and the winning margin can diverge. In MLB, late bullpen changes, starting pitching decisions, and lineup scratches can matter a lot for whether a favorite wins comfortably or only by a narrow margin, which is why the run line can trade differently from a straight moneyline. The Angels and Dodgers share the Los Angeles market, so a single game between them is often closely watched even when one team is favored.
Pre-game lineup news, confirmed starting pitchers, rest days, and any last-minute injury or scratched-player updates can change how likely a three-run Dodgers win looks. Once the game starts, early scoring, the quality of the Dodgers’ bullpen usage, and whether the Angels keep the game close through the middle innings can all move this market. A lopsided Dodgers lead early usually helps the Dodgers side, while a tight game late or an Angels lead pushes it toward the Angels outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 87% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Read the settlement rule carefully: the Dodgers must win by 3 or more runs, and a tie or any closer Dodgers win goes to the Angels side. The primary source is the official final statistics from the game’s governing body or organizers, with a fallback to credible reporting only if final stats are not published within 24 hours. If the game is postponed, check the home team’s MLB.com schedule for the makeup date, since the market stays open until the game is actually completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 87%, $8.6K in 24h volume, and $8.2K in liquidity.
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Los Angeles Dodgers
87%
Los Angeles Angels
13%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for June 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 87%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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