Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 77%, $2.2K in 24h volume, and $932 in liquidity.
Probability
77%
24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$932
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
75%
Change
+39%
High
75%
Low
36%
Los Angeles Dodgers moved from 36% to 75% over the last week, trading between 36% and 75%.
Los Angeles Dodgers price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the Los Angeles Dodgers will beat the Los Angeles Angels by at least four runs in their June 6 MLB game. Because the line is set at Dodgers -3.5, a normal Dodgers win is not enough on its own; the margin has to be four or more for the Dodgers side to resolve.
The event is the scheduled MLB matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Los Angeles Dodgers, set for June 6 at 10:10 PM ET. The resolution question is straightforward: did the Dodgers win by 4+ runs, or did they fail to cover that spread? Under the posted rules, ties count for the Angels side, postponed games stay open until the makeup is played, and a canceled game with no makeup would resolve 50-50.
Run-line markets like Dodgers -3.5 are narrower than a simple moneyline because they ask about margin, not just the winner. That creates uncertainty even when one team may be viewed as stronger on paper, since late scoring, bullpen usage, lineup choices, and game state can all affect whether the final margin clears four runs. Readers watching this market are really asking whether the Dodgers can create a lopsided result rather than merely take the game.
Any confirmed change to the starting lineups, a late scratch, or an unexpected pitching assignment can matter because run-line outcomes are sensitive to who is available on the mound and in the lineup. During the game, an early Dodgers lead or a close score late in the game can shift expectations quickly, while a big early Angels lead usually makes a Dodgers -3.5 cover much less likely. Because the settlement depends on the official final score, a postponed or canceled game would also change how the market resolves.
The current market price implies roughly a 77% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official final score and game status, since the Dodgers must win by four or more runs for this side to resolve. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is completed; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, the rule says the market resolves 50-50. The key ambiguity to watch for is whether an apparent delay or suspension becomes a true makeup game, because the market follows the completed official contest rather than the scheduled start time alone.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 77%, $2.2K in 24h volume, and $932 in liquidity.
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Los Angeles Dodgers
77%
Los Angeles Angels
23%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for June 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 77%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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