Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 71%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $9.6K in liquidity.
Probability
71%
24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$9.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
67%
Change
+36.5%
High
68.5%
Low
22.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers moved from 30.5% to 67% over the last hour, trading between 22.5% and 68.5%.
Los Angeles Dodgers price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about the June 6 MLB matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Los Angeles Dodgers, with the spread set at Dodgers -4.5. In plain terms, the Dodgers must win by at least five runs for the market to resolve to Los Angeles Dodgers; any smaller margin, a tie, or no completed game resolves the other way under the posted rules.
The title points to a run-line bet on a specific regular-season game, scheduled for June 6 at 10:10 PM ET, and the deadline on the page is tied to that game window. Because the market names the Dodgers and Angels, the key question is not simply who wins, but whether Los Angeles can win by a large enough margin to clear 4.5 runs. The description also sets out the settlement rules: postponed games stay open until completed, canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50, and the official final statistics are the main source of truth.
A 4.5-run spread is much harder to clear than a straight moneyline win, so even a strong favorite can fail to cover if the game stays close. That makes lineup strength, starting pitching, bullpen usage, and late-game scoring margin especially important for this kind of market. Readers are effectively watching whether the Dodgers can turn a win into a blowout, or whether the Angels can keep the game within five runs.
The biggest price moves usually come from pregame lineup news, a late scratch, or confirmation of the starting pitchers, because those directly affect how likely a team is to win by margin. During the game, an early Dodgers lead, a high-scoring first few innings, or heavy bullpen use by either side can shift expectations about whether a five-run cushion is realistic. A close game late, a string of scoreless innings, or an Angels rally would point in the opposite direction and make the underdog side more attractive.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 71% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that the game is actually completed and not being held open by a postponement or makeup date, since the rules say postponed games remain open until finished. If there is any ambiguity, the official final score is what matters, not an implied margin from live game flow or partial stats. The key settlement test is simple: Dodgers by five or more runs resolves to Dodgers, while any other final result resolves to Angels, including a tie if that were to occur.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 71%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $9.6K in liquidity.
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Los Angeles Dodgers
71%
Los Angeles Angels
29%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for June 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 5 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 71%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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