Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 85%, $4.3K in 24h volume, and $13.4K in liquidity.
Probability
85%
24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$13.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
16.5%
Change
-58%
High
85%
Low
13%
Colorado Rockies moved from 74.5% to 16.5% over the last hour, trading between 13% and 85%.
Colorado Rockies price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the Milwaukee Brewers will beat the Colorado Rockies by at least 3 runs in their June 7 MLB game. It is a straightforward spread-style question, so the final score margin matters more than who simply wins outright.
The title, "Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)," means the Brewers must win by 3 or more runs for the Milwaukee side to resolve as the winner. If the Brewers win by 1 or 2, if the Rockies win, or if the game ends tied, the market resolves to Colorado Rockies under the rules shown here. The game is scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET, and if it is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played.
Baseball margins can be volatile, especially in games where one team may have a stronger pitching matchup, lineup, or bullpen on a given day. A -2.5 spread adds another layer of uncertainty beyond the usual win/loss result, because a late insurance run or a blowout inning can decide the outcome even after the game feels settled. That is what makes this market worth watching: it is not just about which club wins, but by how much.
Lineup changes, starting pitcher announcements, late scratches, and bullpen availability can all affect how likely a team is to cover a 2.5-run spread. In-game scoring patterns matter too: an early Brewers lead, a tight low-scoring game, or a late Rockies rally can change the outlook quickly because the margin has to reach three runs. Weather, if it affects run scoring, can also matter indirectly once the game is underway or if conditions change close to first pitch.
The current market price implies roughly a 85% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key thing to verify is the official final score and whether the game is completed on the scheduled date or moved to a makeup date. The settlement rules here are specific: Brewers by 3 or more resolves to Milwaukee, any other result resolves to Colorado, and a canceled game with no makeup settles 50-50. If there is a postponement, the market remains open until the makeup game is played, so readers should check the home team’s schedule on MLB.com for the rescheduled listing and confirm the final, official statistics before treating the market as resolved.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 85%, $4.3K in 24h volume, and $13.4K in liquidity.
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Milwaukee Brewers
85%
Colorado Rockies
15%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 85%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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