Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $12.3K in liquidity.
Probability
23%
24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$12.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
81.5%
Change
+16.5%
High
81.5%
Low
64%
Colorado Rockies moved from 65% to 81.5% over the last month, trading between 64% and 81.5%.
Colorado Rockies price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks a simple but specific baseball question: will the Milwaukee Brewers beat the Colorado Rockies by 4 runs or more in their June 7 game? Because the line is set at -3.5, a normal Brewers win is not enough—Milwaukee has to win by a comfortable margin for the Brewers side to resolve.
The title, "Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)," means the market is tied to the MLB matchup between Milwaukee and Colorado scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET. Under the stated rules, "Milwaukee Brewers" wins only if Milwaukee wins by at least four runs; any Rockies win, a one- to three-run Brewers win, or a tie resolves to "Colorado Rockies." If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is actually completed, and if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
Run-line markets like this test not just which team is better, but whether the favorite can win by a wide enough margin. That makes the result sensitive to starting pitching, bullpen depth, lineup strength, and whether either club is able to build an early lead and keep scoring late. The Rockies and Brewers also matter as named teams because baseball games can swing quickly on roster availability, travel, and game-day lineup choices that are only confirmed close to first pitch.
The biggest price movers are usually the confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup scratches, and any pregame changes that affect offense or bullpen usage. In a spread market, a stronger Brewers lineup or a shaky Rockies pitching staff can make a four-run win more plausible, while a close projected pitching matchup tends to favor the underdog side. Official game status also matters: if the matchup is delayed, postponed, or moved to a makeup date, the settlement timeline changes even if the eventual scoring rules do not.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 23% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market settles, readers should verify the official final score and make sure the game was completed under MLB’s official records. The resolution source is the governing body’s final statistics, with credible reporting used only if final statistics are not published within 24 hours, so the key question is the official margin of victory rather than the box score at any intermediate point. If the game is postponed or rescheduled, the relevant check is the home team’s MLB.com schedule for the makeup game, since the market remains open until that completion occurs.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $12.3K in liquidity.
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Milwaukee Brewers
22.5%
Colorado Rockies
77.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 23%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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