Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, $1K in 24h volume, and $2.2K in liquidity.
Probability
17%
24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
14%
Change
-16%
High
30%
Low
13%
Milwaukee Brewers moved from 30% to 14% over the last week, trading between 13% and 30%.
Milwaukee Brewers price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the Milwaukee Brewers can beat the Colorado Rockies by at least five runs in their June 7 MLB game. The big number in the title, Brewers (-4.5), means Milwaukee must win by 5 or more for the Brewers side to resolve. The listed market signals show traders leaning toward Colorado covering that spread, but the real result will be decided by the official final score.
The event is the upcoming Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies game scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET. Resolution is straightforward: it goes to "Milwaukee Brewers" only if Milwaukee wins by 5 or more runs; every other outcome, including a tie, resolves to "Colorado Rockies." If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is actually played, and if it is canceled with no makeup game, the market settles 50-50.
Run-line markets create uncertainty because a team can win the game without covering a large spread. Here, the question is not simply who wins, but whether Milwaukee can win by a margin big enough to clear 4.5 runs, which is a much tougher outcome than a one-run victory. Readers may care because baseball scores can swing sharply with bullpen usage, late-inning rallies, and lineup strength, all of which affect the final margin.
The biggest price movers are the confirmed starting pitchers, last-minute lineup changes, and any indication that one side is resting regulars or calling up bench players. Weather delays can matter too, especially if they change the starting pitcher or create a shortened, bullpen-heavy game that affects scoring margin. Once the game starts, early scoring, pitcher exits, and large inning swings will usually move the market most quickly because they directly change the chance of a five-run Brewers win.
The current market price implies roughly a 17% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check whether the game is played on June 7 as scheduled or moved because of a postponement, since a makeup game keeps the market open. The source of truth is the official final statistics recognized by MLB or the event organizers, with credible reporting used only if final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. One small ambiguity to watch is that a tied game is explicitly treated like a Colorado Rockies result here, so the final margin, not just the winner, is what matters most.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, $1K in 24h volume, and $2.2K in liquidity.
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Milwaukee Brewers
16.5%
Colorado Rockies
83.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 5 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 17%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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