Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $493.7 in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$493.7
Liquidity
$2.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
98.5%
Change
+19.5%
High
98.5%
Low
62.5%
Milwaukee Brewers moved from 79% to 98.5% over the last hour, trading between 62.5% and 98.5%.
Milwaukee Brewers price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the Colorado Rockies can beat the Milwaukee Brewers by at least three runs in their June 7 MLB game. It is a run-line style question, so a narrow Rockies win does not count for Colorado, while any Brewers win does.
The event is the MLB matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET. The market resolves to Colorado only if the Rockies win by 3 or more runs; otherwise it resolves to Milwaukee, including a tie or any smaller Rockies win. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Run-line outcomes can be much less straightforward than picking a straight-up winner, because a team can win the game but still fail to cover a 2.5-run spread. That is especially relevant in baseball, where late bullpen use, extra innings, and small scoring swings can quickly change whether a margin becomes large enough to matter. Readers are watching to see whether Colorado can produce a decisive win rather than just any win.
The biggest price movers are the starting pitcher matchup, any late lineup changes, and the way the game starts: an early Rockies lead makes a Colorado cover more plausible, while a Brewers lead puts pressure on the Rockies to win by margin. Because the market is tied to a specific run differential, innings with high scoring, bullpen substitutions, or a lopsided middle of the game can matter more here than in a simple moneyline market. Postponement or a schedule change would also matter because the market stays open until a makeup game is played.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official final score, not just who won, because Colorado must win by 3 or more runs for this market to settle to the Rockies. If the game is postponed, the key detail is whether MLB lists a makeup game on the home team’s schedule; if there is no makeup and the game is canceled outright, the market resolves 50-50. The primary source of truth is the official final statistics recognized by the league, with credible reporting used only if official final stats are not published within 24 hours.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $493.7 in 24h volume, and $2.4K in liquidity.
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Colorado Rockies
2%
Milwaukee Brewers
98%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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